It is dominated by uncertainty.. Israel is silently watching what is happening in Sudan

Analysts believe that the Israeli silence about the coup in Sudan is temporary, until the events end, as Tel Aviv fears the decline of the role of the proof and the military council and the restoration of the civilian component to the reins of government, knowing that the Sudanese people see Jerusalem and Palestine as a national issue

Occupied Jerusalem- Israel is silent about the military coup in Sudan, and refrains from commenting on the events that it fears will have repercussions on the efforts to normalize between the two countries, while continuing, in complete secrecy, to consolidate its security and intelligence relations with General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, who heads the transitional phase in Khartoum.

Al-Burhan’s decision to dissolve the Sovereignty Council and the government of Abdullah Hamdok was preceded by Israeli initiatives to strengthen relations and push for normalization with Khartoum and within the “Abraham” agreements that it initiated last year. However, the crisis of governance, internal conditions and the Sudanese popular movement prevented this.

Despite the official silence, some researchers and analysts confirm that Israel fears the developments of events in Sudan, as they do not rule out the possibility that they will negatively affect the course of normalization, knowing that the one who supervises and deals with relations with Sudan in Tel Aviv, under a cover of secrecy, is the intelligence service. (Mossad) and the National Security Council.

Observers in Israel believe that the differences between the military and civil components hindered the course of normalization with it (French)

Al-Burhan and Hamdok disagreements

Tel Aviv preferred not to rush towards the normalization of diplomatic relations with Khartoum due to the crisis of governance, the popular movement, the dominance of the military, and the absence of a civilian role in managing the country’s affairs.

According to Israeli estimates, the differences between Al-Burhan and Hamdok caused a delay in the normalization of relations between the two countries. In fact, some in Tel Aviv view Al-Burhan, who wants full diplomatic relations with Israel, as a “responsible rationalist”, compared to Hamdok, who does not seek to strengthen relations between the two countries.

understandings and interests

A spokesman for the Peace Now movement in Israel, Adam Clare, rules out the success of normalizing diplomatic relations between Israel and Sudan. He sees in the Khartoum Declaration, the recognition of Israel, under the umbrella of the Military Council, as a convergence of interests between the security and intelligence systems, away from the position of the Sudanese people, who categorically reject this normalization.

Claire explains to Al Jazeera Net that the announcement of understandings about the normalization of relations between Tel Aviv and Khartoum, was not widely welcomed by Israeli society as well, and was marginal in the Israeli political scene, but it was and will remain important to the security establishment.

He believes that relations between Israel and Khartoum are facing a real test in the face of the Sudanese popular movement, which, if successful, would fail the security and intelligence normalization between the two countries.

relationships and challenges

A spokesman for the “Peace Now” movement clarifies that Tel Aviv has exchanged security and military delegations and missions with Khartoum in complete secrecy, away from the diplomatic track, which is supposed to establish normalization relations between countries.

Claire believes that Tel Aviv, in contrast to its ostentatious and impulsive stance towards normalizing relations with Gulf and Arab countries, as reflected in the “Abraham” agreements, has refrained from cheering the understandings and mutual recognition between Israel and Sudan, “because of the instability of the government in Khartoum, and the principled position of the Sudanese people in rejecting full normalization that exceeds The Palestinian cause”.

The spokesman believes that “the case of Sudan puts Israel in front of a number of challenges, as Tel Aviv aspires to employ the civilian dimension to normalize relations, and it failed to do so in Khartoum, and this was reflected in its refusal to accept it as an observer member of the African Union.”

security and intelligence

In a reading of the official Israeli position regarding what is happening in Sudan, the researcher in Israeli affairs, Saleh Lutfi, believes that Tel Aviv’s silent position reflects its historical approach to dealing and dealing with such issues in the Arab and Islamic worlds, which is based on the security and intelligence dimension away from diplomatic channels.

Lotfi told Al Jazeera Net that Israel’s official silence about the military coup in Sudan reflects its fears of the repercussions and developments of events that would reach other Arab and African countries that Tel Aviv is betting on strengthening its relations and normalization with it.

Fears and silence

Lutfi believes that “Israel is silently watching the developments of events in Sudan, and fears that the protests will turn into civil disobedience, accompanied by the return of the forces of civil and Islamic currents to the political scene. Accordingly, it is seeking, behind the scenes, regional countries to prevent the return of Islamists.”

It is likely that Israel’s silence and its position on the official normalization of relations with Sudan is temporary, until the end of the events, as Tel Aviv fears a decline in the role of the Burhan and the Military Council and the restoration of the civilian component of the reins of government.

deconstruct and normalize

Tel Aviv’s attempts do not stop there, but rather bypassed it, Lutfi says, “to dismantle the five circles under which the Arab and Islamic countries fall. They are dealt with from a security perspective away from official diplomatic relations,” citing the Israeli role to encourage Ethiopia to build the Renaissance Dam despite the peace agreement. Between Tel Aviv and Cairo.

Lutfi ruled out Tel Aviv’s retreat from normalization with Sudan, but rather will keep it within the security and military circles, pointing out that Tel Aviv, which experienced the concerns of the Arab Spring, remained silent until the revolutions were aborted militarily or by soft power, but it is aware that Arab peoples – even if repressed – do not Defeated and back again to the popular movement.

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