Boniface: Putin’s art consists in hiding Russia’s weaknesses, and the fear it provokes is out of proportion to his true strength
The Russian president continues to defy the Europeans and multiplies the provocations, the latest of which is Russia’s test of an anti-satellite missile that alarmed the International Space Station, so what does Vladimir Putin want?
A question that writer Henry Furney tried to answer in article To him in the French newspaper Le Parisien, saying at first that space remained silent even after the Russian missile, but the latter’s collision with a satellite there awakened the entire Earth.
He added that such a deliberate act – which indirectly threatened the International Space Station – angered many in the international community, especially since this “provocation” comes in light of the Kremlin’s involvement in the terrible migration crisis on the Belarusian-Polish border, and renewed tensions in Ukraine and in other theaters. Across the world, from the Levant to Africa. So what is Russian President Vladimir Putin trying to achieve with his successive challenges?
The writer quotes Pascal Boniface, director of the Institute of International Relations and Strategy “IRIS” in France, as saying, “Because the United States is now focused on China, it almost no longer pays attention to Russia as an important competitor… The problem is that Moscow They use their means of nuisance in volatile areas.”
Ferni believes that Moscow’s message behind its recognition of its testing of an anti-satellite missile is that it still has weight in this region, which was once confined to the Soviets and Americans, despite the huge gap between the two countries’ military budgets (740 billion dollars for America compared to only 60 billion for Russia). .
However, this incident, according to the author, confirms the danger of the further militarization of space, which is also reflected in the presence of a space command for the French army, and here he quotes a high-ranking French officer as saying that he was “shocked by the rise of the Russians in the military space.”
Regarding the migrant exploitation crisis, which Verney says was created by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in order to “punish” Europe for the sanctions imposed on him, Vladimir Putin – who talks every day with his Belarusian counterpart on the phone – plays the role of Lukashenko’s godfather.
The writer quotes here the geopolitical expert Boniface as saying, as he describes Putin’s role in this crisis, “either he presented Lukashenko with the idea of (bringing refugees from the Middle East to Belarus in order to direct them towards Poland and the European Union), or gave him the green light.”
Here, the writer points out that there is information that Moscow provided logistical support to the Belarusians to bring between 3,000 to 4,000 refugees – from Kurds, Iraqis, Syrians, Afghans and others – to the Polish border, where they found themselves stuck in tragic conditions, and many of them actually lost their lives, which is what It should be denounced.
Pascal Boniface comments on Putin’s strategy, saying that he “blows on hot coals, then presents himself as a solution.” But on the ground, the improvement is long overdue with the multiplication of events in what looks like an atmosphere of war, according to the writer.
On Ukraine’s borders there is also cause for concern. Russia first annexed Crimea in 2014 and has not faced any sanctions for it. The question now before is “Is Vladimir Putin preparing to invade Ukraine, which he has massed his forces on its borders?” The writer asks, to respond that this comes at a time when the United States is carrying out maneuvers in the Black Sea, along with NATO, which Moscow described as a “provocation.”
The writer here quotes Pascal Boniface as saying, “The mobilization of forces is a classic method that Putin takes to maintain a certain degree of tension and turmoil, but he has neither the will nor the means to invade Ukraine.”
The expert notes that Putin has learned a lesson from the Afghan disaster, and that the Kremlin, given the recent Western failures, has become well aware that occupying a country on a large scale is a costly trap in men and money.
The reality – according to Ferni – is that Moscow’s military presence in Syria is not enormous; About 30 planes and a few thousand soldiers, and it depends there on the army of Bashar al-Assad, and it is also in Africa that it strengthens its presence by sending Wagner mercenaries, and this will ensure that Putin will exercise some influence at an inexpensive cost, and Boniface summarizes Putin’s current policy by saying, “Putin’s art is based on Concealing Russia’s weaknesses, and the fear it provokes, is out of proportion to its true strength.”